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Creators/Authors contains: "Smith, Elizabeth N"

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  1. Abstract Observational data collection is extremely hazardous in supercell storm environments, which makes for a scarcity of data used for evaluating the storm-scale guidance from convection allowing models (CAMs) like the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS). The Targeted Observations with UAS and Radar of Supercells (TORUS) 2019 field mission provided a rare opportunity to not only collect these observations, but to do so with advanced technology: vertically pointing Doppler lidar. One standing question for WoFS is how the system forecasts the feedback between supercells and their near-storm environment. The lidar can observe vertical profiles of wind over time, creating unique datasets to compare to WoFS kinematic predictions in rapidly evolving severe weather environments. Mobile radiosonde data are also presented to provide a thermodynamic comparison. The five lidar deployments (three of which observed tornadic supercells) analyzed show WoFS accurately predicted general kinematic trends in the inflow environment; however, the predicted feedback between the supercell and its environment, which resulted in enhanced inflow and larger storm-relative helicity (SRH), were muted relative to observations. The radiosonde observations reveal an overprediction of CAPE in WoFS forecasts, both in the near and far field, with an inverse relationship between the CAPE errors and distance from the storm. Significance Statement It is difficult to evaluate the accuracy of weather prediction model forecasts of severe thunderstorms because observations are rarely available near the storms. However, the TORUS 2019 field experiment collected multiple specialized observations in the near-storm environment of supercells, which are compared to the same near-storm environments predicted by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) to gauge its performance. Unique to this study is the use of mobile Doppler lidar observations in the evaluation; lidar can retrieve the horizontal winds in the few kilometers above ground on time scales of a few minutes. Using lidar and radiosonde observations in the near-storm environment of three tornadic supercells, we find that WoFS generally predicts the expected trends in the evolution of the near-storm wind profile, but the response is muted compared to observations. We also find an inverse relationship of errors in instability to distance from the storm. These results can aid model developers in refining model physics to better predict severe storms. 
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  2. Abstract. During the Chequamegon Heterogeneous Ecosystem Energy-balance Study Enabled by a High-density Extensive Array of Detectors 2019 (CHEESEHEAD19) field campaign, held in the summer of 2019 in northern Wisconsin, USA, active and passive ground-based remote sensing instruments were deployed to understand the response of the planetary boundary layer to heterogeneous land surface forcing. These instruments include radar wind profilers, microwave radiometers, atmospheric emitted radiance interferometers, ceilometers, high spectral resolution lidars, Doppler lidars, and collaborative lower-atmospheric mobile profiling systems that combine several of these instruments. In this study, these ground-based remote sensing instruments are used to estimate the height of the daytime planetary boundary layer, and their performance is compared against independent boundary layer depth estimates obtained from radiosondes launched as part of the field campaign. The impact of clouds (in particular boundary layer clouds) on boundary layer depth estimations is also investigated. We found that while all instruments are overall able to provide reasonable boundary layer depth estimates, each of them shows strengths and weaknesses under certain conditions. For example, radar wind profilers perform well during cloud-free conditions, and microwave radiometers and atmospheric emitted radiance interferometers have a very good agreement during all conditions but are limited by the smoothness of the retrieved thermodynamic profiles. The estimates from ceilometers and high spectral resolution lidars can be hindered by the presence of elevated aerosol layers or clouds, and the multi-instrument retrieval from the collaborative lower atmospheric mobile profiling systems can be constricted to a limited height range in low-aerosol conditions. 
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  3. Abstract A multi-agency succession of field campaigns was conducted in southeastern Texas during July 2021 through October 2022 to study the complex interactions of aerosols, clouds and air pollution in the coastal urban environment. As part of the Tracking Aerosol Convection interactions Experiment (TRACER), the TRACER- Air Quality (TAQ) campaign the Experiment of Sea Breeze Convection, Aerosols, Precipitation and Environment (ESCAPE) and the Convective Cloud Urban Boundary Layer Experiment (CUBE), a combination of ground-based supersites and mobile laboratories, shipborne measurements and aircraft-based instrumentation were deployed. These diverse platforms collected high-resolution data to characterize the aerosol microphysics and chemistry, cloud and precipitation micro- and macro-physical properties, environmental thermodynamics and air quality-relevant constituents that are being used in follow-on analysis and modeling activities. We present the overall deployment setups, a summary of the campaign conditions and a sampling of early research results related to: (a) aerosol precursors in the urban environment, (b) influences of local meteorology on air pollution, (c) detailed observations of the sea breeze circulation, (d) retrieved supersaturation in convective updrafts, (e) characterizing the convective updraft lifecycle, (f) variability in lightning characteristics of convective storms and (g) urban influences on surface energy fluxes. The work concludes with discussion of future research activities highlighted by the TRACER model-intercomparison project to explore the representation of aerosol-convective interactions in high-resolution simulations. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available August 4, 2026